Defensa y Justicia 1-0 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 12 Aug 2025

📅12/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
6.02
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.01
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.2
X/1
19%
4.32
X/2
8%
7.14
X/X
12%
3.48
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
13%
6.43
2/X
7%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.45/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.54
+13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -38%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
18.3 Crosses 13.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensa y Justicia
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 0.71
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
398 Passes 103
80% Pass Accuracy 52%
29 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.02.2025 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 1-1 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
19.11.2024 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJ
27.02.2024 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.49 xG 0.82
79% Ball Possession 21%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
629 Passes 99
89% Pass Accuracy 54%
15 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensa y Justicia squeezed past Deportivo Riestra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Defensa y Justicia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 79% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 21%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.49 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 1.00 for Deportivo Riestra.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra?

Defensa y Justicia 1-0 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 12/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 45%, draw 27%, Deportivo Riestra 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensa y Justicia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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