Shanghai Shenhua 3-3 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.49
6+ Goals
14%
5.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.8
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.9
X/1
10%
4.24
X/2
6%
12.0
X/X
6%
7.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
18.6
2/2
10%
8.6
2/X
6%
16.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.6 — our 7% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
62%
-2.4pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.7pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.87/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.40
+14% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / -23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
461 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 80%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
23.5 Crosses 11.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.36 xG 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
281 Passes 349
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 0-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
06.07.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 6-0 HT 3-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
31.03.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 0-3 HT 0-2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
25.11.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-0 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNK
11.07.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 3-0 HT 3-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
16.04.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-0 HT 1-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
3-3
AWAY Shandong Taishan
49% Ball Possession 51%
23 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
359 Passes 378
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua and Shandong Taishan shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Shanghai Shenhua at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Shanghai Shenhua had 49% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 51%, shots finished 23-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shanghai Shenhua and 0.50 for Shandong Taishan.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Taishan?

Shanghai Shenhua 3-3 Shandong Taishan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 60%, draw 20%, Shandong Taishan 20%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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