Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.98
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.03
No
45%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.77
2-3 Goals
40%
2.14
4-5 Goals
26%
2.32
6+ Goals
12%
4.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.22
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
29.5
X/1
21%
3.9
X/2
7%
34.5
X/X
5%
11.85
2/1
9%
22.8
2/2
6%
30.0
2/X
3%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
80%
-14.8pp
18%
Draw
13%
+4.6pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
45%
+9.6pp
45%
BTTS No
55%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.79/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.76
-4% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -19%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
490 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
35.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
25.3 Crosses 16.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.28 xG 0.86
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
353 Passes 214
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
38 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-2 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
03.08.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 4-0 HT 3-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
14.04.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-2 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
12.08.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-0 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
14.05.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 HT 2-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
07.11.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 HT 1-2 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
1-0
AWAY Changchun YaTai
1.72 xG 0.19
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 6
509 Passes 264
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao squeezed past Changchun YaTai 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 62% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 38%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.72 to 0.19 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chengdu Qianbao's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 1.17 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Changchun YaTai?

Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 65%, draw 18%, Changchun YaTai 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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