Shanghai Port 4-2 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.27
Draw
13%
5.71
Away
10%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
4.0
Over 2.5
69%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
9.5
2-3 Goals
34%
2.49
4-5 Goals
34%
2.21
6+ Goals
17%
3.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1.37
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
4%
20.65
X/1
18%
4.21
X/2
3%
21.05
X/X
4%
11.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
16.25
2/2
4%
15.1
2/X
5%
24.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 16.25 — our 9% vs market 3.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
74%
+2.1pp
13%
Draw
15%
-1.2pp
10%
Away Win
11%
-1.0pp
31%
Under 2.5
22%
+9.1pp
69%
Over 2.5
78%
-9.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.8pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
3.03/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/3.04
+25% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
433 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
24.4 Crosses 18.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.89 xG 2.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
320 Passes 229
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 0
25.04.2025 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 2-3 HT 0-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port
4-2
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
4.36 xG 0.46
63% Ball Possession 37%
29 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
428 Passes 210
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
55 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port beat Yunnan Yukun 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 63% of the ball to Yunnan Yukun's 37%, shots finished 29-10, expected goals 4.36 to 0.46.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Yunnan Yukun?

Shanghai Port 4-2 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 77%, draw 13%, Yunnan Yukun 10%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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