Henan Jianye 2-0 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
35%
3.72
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.98
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
7.16
2-3 Goals
32%
2.19
4-5 Goals
33%
2.3
6+ Goals
11%
4.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.06
1/2
7%
21.5
1/X
12%
11.7
X/1
14%
6.07
X/2
17%
6.73
X/X
17%
6.63
2/1
5%
19.8
2/2
7%
3.58
2/X
7%
11.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-7.5pp
35%
Draw
23%
+11.8pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-4.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.2pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.89/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.99
-11% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
26.3 Crosses 14.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.24 xG 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
278 Passes 367
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.04.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-0 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
02.11.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-1 HT 1-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
15.06.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 2-1 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
04.08.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 3-1 HT 2-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
05.05.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-1 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
04.11.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-1 HT 1-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
2-0
AWAY Beijing Guoan
2.38 xG 0.65
51% Ball Possession 49%
23 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
290 Passes 266
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
38 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye saw off Beijing Guoan 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 35% / 31% — and on the day Henan Jianye made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 51% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 49%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.38 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Henan Jianye and 1.50 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan?

Henan Jianye 2-0 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 34%, draw 35%, Beijing Guoan 31%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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