Persib Bandung 1-0 Persebaya Surabaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
19%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persib Bandung EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +9%
1.39/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.11
-8% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persib Bandung
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
284 Passes 292
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2025 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 4-1 HT 0-0 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
18.10.2024 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 2-0 HT 1-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
20.04.2024 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 3-1 HT 1-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
10.12.2022 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 2-1 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
19.03.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 HT 0-1 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
08.12.2021 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 0-3 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persib Bandung
1-0
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Persib Bandung vs Persebaya Surabaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persib Bandung nicked a narrow win over Persebaya Surabaya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Persib Bandung as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Persib Bandung had 46% of the ball to Persebaya Surabaya's 54%, shots finished 5-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persib Bandung had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Persib Bandung and 1.67 for Persebaya Surabaya.

What was the final score of Persib Bandung vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Persib Bandung 1-0 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persib Bandung vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persib Bandung win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Persib Bandung 52%, draw 29%, Persebaya Surabaya 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persib Bandung), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persib Bandung) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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