Floriana 1-1 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 26%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.69/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.03
+17% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
339 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gzira United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.03.2025 Gzira United Gzira United 0-3 HT 0-2 Floriana Floriana MALTP
27.09.2024 Floriana Floriana 2-1 HT 2-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
07.05.2024 Floriana Floriana 2-2 HT 1-2 Gzira United Gzira United MLTAK
21.01.2024 Floriana Floriana 0-1 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
18.02.2023 Floriana Floriana 1-1 HT 1-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
16.10.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 1-0 HT 1-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
1-1
AWAY Gzira United
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana and Gzira United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Floriana at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Floriana had 58% of the ball to Gzira United's 42%, shots finished 6-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Floriana and 1.00 for Gzira United.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Gzira United?

Floriana 1-1 Gzira United in the Malta - Premier League on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Floriana 45%, draw 24%, Gzira United 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Floriana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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