Floriana 2-1 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 33%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.44/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.22
+11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gzira United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.05.2024 Floriana Floriana 2-2 HT 1-2 Gzira United Gzira United MLTAK
21.01.2024 Floriana Floriana 0-1 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
18.02.2023 Floriana Floriana 1-1 HT 1-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
16.10.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 1-0 HT 1-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
20.02.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 1-2 HT 0-2 Floriana Floriana MLTP
31.10.2021 Floriana Floriana 2-1 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
2-1
AWAY Gzira United
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana nicked a narrow win over Gzira United 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Floriana made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Floriana had 45% of the ball to Gzira United's 55%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Floriana and 1.17 for Gzira United.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Gzira United?

Floriana 2-1 Gzira United in the Malta - Premier League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Floriana 39%, draw 27%, Gzira United 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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