Masr 1-0 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 12 Sep 2025

Masr
1-0 HT 0-0
Ismaily
📅12/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
14%
5.13
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.4pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Masr EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 26%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.29/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.00
+26% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
22.4 Crosses 13.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Masr
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ismaily
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.86 xG 0.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 Passes 312
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2025 Ismaily Ismaily 0-2 HT 0-0 Masr MSR
04.03.2025 Masr 2-2 HT 1-2 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
27.08.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-1 Masr MSRK
18.04.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 1-2 HT 0-2 Masr MSR
19.09.2023 Masr 1-0 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
07.09.2020 Ismaily Ismaily 4-0 HT 1-0 Masr MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Masr
1-0
AWAY Ismaily
0.78 xG 0.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
259 Passes 277
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Masr vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Masr squeezed past Ismaily 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Masr as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Masr had 49% of the ball to Ismaily's 51%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.78 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Masr had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Masr and 1.17 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of Masr vs Ismaily?

Masr 1-0 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Masr vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated a Masr win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Masr 42%, draw 32%, Ismaily 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Masr), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Masr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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