Lech Poznan 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.23
Over
61%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.64
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.23
2-3
45%
1.83
4-5
28%
2.73
6+
9%
7.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.94
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.55
X/1
19%
4.19
X/2
7%
10.6
X/X
12%
6.17
2/1
4%
19.95
2/2
10%
7.98
2/X
4%
16.15
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lech Poznan The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin The Market 22%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.14 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.09
1.03 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.54
Average Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Average
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
28 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lech Poznan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.48 xG 1.23
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
402 Passes 275
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3-1 HT 2-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
17.08.2024 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
10.02.2024 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
06.08.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 1-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
19.02.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-2 HT 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
07.08.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lech Poznan
1 - 2
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.80 xG 0.66
64% Ball Possession 36%
26 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
411 Passes 204
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
37 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Zaglebie Lubin shaded a tight game against Lech Poznan 2-1 on the road. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

This one beat our numbers. Lech Poznan carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 64% to 36% in Lech Poznan's favour, shots finished 26-10, expected goals 1.80 to 0.66 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lech Poznan.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Lech Poznan against 0.83 for Zaglebie Lubin.

Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin Result & Final Score

Lech Poznan 1 - 2 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 61%, draw 21%, Zaglebie Lubin 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lech Poznan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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