Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 FC Astana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 12 Sep 2026

📅12/09/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
22%
3.78
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.94
Over
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
46%
4-5
23%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet. This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Astana The Market 26%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.85 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.98
1.10 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.71
Strong Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Weak
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Astana
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
11.04.2026 FC Astana FC Astana 1-1 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
13.07.2025 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
05.04.2025 FC Astana FC Astana 2-1 HT 1-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
22.09.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-4 HT 2-2 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
16.06.2024 FC Astana FC Astana 0-1 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
24.09.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
REVIEW Ordabasy Shymkent vs FC Astana
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ordabasy Shymkent found just enough to beat FC Astana 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: both teams to score (55%) never looked like landing.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 1.50 for FC Astana.

Ordabasy Shymkent vs FC Astana Result & Final Score

Ordabasy Shymkent 1 - 0 FC Astana in the Kazakistan - Super League on 12/09/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ordabasy Shymkent vs FC Astana Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 51%, draw 27%, FC Astana 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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