Morpeth Town 1-1 Whitby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.74/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.22
+11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morpeth Town
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Whitby Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.04.2024 Whitby Town Whitby Town 3-1 HT 3-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
26.12.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
30.09.2023 Whitby Town Whitby Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town FAK
07.02.2023 Whitby Town Whitby Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
18.10.2022 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
01.01.2022 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Morpeth Town
1-1
AWAY Whitby Town
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Morpeth Town vs Whitby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morpeth Town and Whitby Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Morpeth Town had 49% of the ball to Whitby Town's 51%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Whitby Town led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Morpeth Town and 1.00 for Whitby Town.

What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Whitby Town?

Morpeth Town 1-1 Whitby Town in the England - Non League Premier on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Whitby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Whitby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 35%, draw 27%, Whitby Town 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Whitby Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Whitby Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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