Swindon Supermarine 4-0 Tiverton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.4pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.8pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiverton Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
2.05/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.52
+25% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Supermarine
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Tiverton Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
02.03.2024 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 2-2 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
07.10.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 3-1 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town FAK
30.09.2023 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
18.03.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 3-3 HT 2-2 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
15.10.2022 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
23.04.2022 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 2-0 HT 0-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Swindon Supermarine vs Tiverton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Supermarine cruised past Tiverton Town 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Swindon Supermarine as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swindon Supermarine had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Swindon Supermarine and 1.33 for Tiverton Town.

What was the final score of Swindon Supermarine vs Tiverton Town?

Swindon Supermarine 4-0 Tiverton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Supermarine vs Tiverton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Supermarine win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Swindon Supermarine 48%, draw 19%, Tiverton Town 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swindon Supermarine), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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