Fortuna Köln 3-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Oberhausen EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.44/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.46
-11% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Köln
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
16.09.2023 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
05.04.2023 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
18.09.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-1 HT 1-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
02.04.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-1 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
23.10.2021 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 0-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Köln beat Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Fortuna Köln made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Köln had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fortuna Köln and 0.67 for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen.

What was the final score of Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen?

Fortuna Köln 3-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen in the Germany - Regional League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Köln 35%, draw 29%, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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