Forge 0-2 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 12 Oct 2024

Forge
0-2 HT 0-2
Atletico Ottawa
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Forge vs Atletico Ottawa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.2
6+ Goals
8%
20.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 33% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.3pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forge v Atletico Ottawa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.30/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.99
+87% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
15.2 Crosses 13.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Forge vs Atletico Ottawa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forge
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.16 xG 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
399 Passes 347
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.08.2024 Forge Forge 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
29.06.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 4-3 HT 1-0 Forge Forge CAPL
25.05.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 3-0 HT 1-0 Forge Forge CAPL
08.10.2023 Forge Forge 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
27.08.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL
26.06.2023 Forge Forge 4-3 HT 3-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL

Forge 0-2 Atletico Ottawa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
0-2
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
0.17 xG 2.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 4
409 Passes 437
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 21
7 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forge vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa beat Forge 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Atletico Ottawa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Forge had 49% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 51%, shots finished 4-11, expected goals 0.17 to 2.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Forge and 1.83 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of Forge vs Atletico Ottawa?

Forge 0-2 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Forge 39%, draw 26%, Atletico Ottawa 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Forge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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