Arsenal (K) 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 12 Oct 2025

Arsenal (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
📅12/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2025/2026

Arsenal (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
77%
-11.0pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.8pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal (K) v Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.71/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.94
+44% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
50.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
23.8 Crosses 10.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Arsenal (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal (K)
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
4.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
2.40 xG 0.40
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
557 Passes 251
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
40 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.11.2024 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 5-0 HT 3-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
18.05.2024 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 5-0 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
29.09.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
28.04.2019 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
25.11.2018 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 4-1 HT 3-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL

Arsenal (K) 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal (K)
1-0
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
1.16 xG 0.53
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
431 Passes 311
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
39 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Arsenal (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) nicked a narrow win over Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Arsenal (K) had 58% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion (K)'s 42%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.16 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 4.40 goals for Arsenal (K) and 0.20 for Brighton & Hove Albion (K).

What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Arsenal (K) 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 66%, draw 18%, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNKPL More England - Women's Premier League
12 Oct 2025
14:00 Chelsea (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K) Analysis →
14:00 Everton (K) vs Manchester United (K) Analysis →
14:00 Aston Villa (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K) Analysis →
14:00 London City (K) vs West Ham United (K) Analysis →
18:45 Liverpool (K) vs Manchester City (K) Analysis →