Liverpool (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 12 Oct 2025

Liverpool (K)
1-2 HT 0-0
Manchester City (K)
📅12/10/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2025/2026

Liverpool (K) vs Manchester City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
7.95
Draw
14%
5.15
Away
75%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.03
No
46%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
23%
X/X
7%
2/1
2%
2/2
41%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
10%
+1.4pp
14%
Draw
16%
-2.5pp
75%
Away Win
74%
+1.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
+9.1pp
46%
BTTS No
55%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liverpool (K) v Manchester City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.05/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.55/0.89
+53% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -31%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
218 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 474 · 84%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.4
12.0 Crosses 19.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.4

Liverpool (K) vs Manchester City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool (K)
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Manchester City (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.91 xG 1.99
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
226 Passes 544
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.02.2025 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
13.10.2024 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
30.03.2024 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 1-4 HT 0-3 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
01.12.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
31.03.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
04.11.2018 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 0-3 HT 0-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL

Liverpool (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool (K)
1-2
AWAY Manchester City (K)
0.28 xG 1.53
35% Ball Possession 65%
2 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 4
249 Passes 540
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 41
7 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liverpool (K) vs Manchester City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) edged past Liverpool (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Liverpool (K) had 35% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 65%, shots finished 2-13, expected goals 0.28 to 1.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Manchester City (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Liverpool (K) and 2.67 for Manchester City (K).

What was the final score of Liverpool (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Liverpool (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Liverpool (K) 11%, draw 14%, Manchester City (K) 75%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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