Manchester City (K) 4-0 Liverpool (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

Manchester City (K)
4-0 HT 2-0
Liverpool (K)
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2024/2025

Manchester City (K) vs Liverpool (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.3
Draw
27%
4.95
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
72%
-20.7pp
27%
Draw
17%
+10.4pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.0pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester City (K) v Liverpool (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.37/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.10
+12% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -29%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
468 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
36.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
21.1 Crosses 11.0
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

Manchester City (K) vs Liverpool (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City (K)
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Liverpool (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.93 xG 0.73
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
523 Passes 211
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.10.2024 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
30.03.2024 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 1-4 HT 0-3 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
01.12.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
31.03.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
04.11.2018 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 0-3 HT 0-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
08.05.2018 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL

Manchester City (K) 4-0 Liverpool (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City (K)
4-0
AWAY Liverpool (K)
2.21 xG 1.64
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
504 Passes 248
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester City (K) vs Liverpool (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) swept aside Liverpool (K) 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Manchester City (K) had 64% of the ball to Liverpool (K)'s 36%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.21 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Manchester City (K) and 0.67 for Liverpool (K).

What was the final score of Manchester City (K) vs Liverpool (K)?

Manchester City (K) 4-0 Liverpool (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City (K) vs Liverpool (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Manchester City (K) 51%, draw 27%, Liverpool (K) 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNKPL More England - Women's Premier League
16 Feb 2025
15:00 Manchester United (K) vs Crystal Palace (K) Analysis →
15:30 Arsenal (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K) Analysis →
17:00 Chelsea (K) vs Everton (K) Analysis →
18:00 West Ham United (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Analysis →
18:00 Leicester City WFC (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Analysis →