Manchester United (K) 3-1 Crystal Palace (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
39%
X/2
2%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-16.0pp
18%
Draw
11%
+6.2pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+9.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.64/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.78
+2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +113% / +7%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
496 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 77%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.2 Crosses 15.4
0.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Crystal Palace (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.12 xG 0.16
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
278 Passes 164
72% Pass Accuracy 56%
25 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
15.12.2024 Crystal Palace (K) Crystal Palace (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United (K)
3-1
AWAY Crystal Palace (K)
2.49 xG 0.49
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
497 Passes 205
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
33 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manchester United (K) vs Crystal Palace (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United (K) got the better of Crystal Palace (K) 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Manchester United (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Manchester United (K) had 65% of the ball to Crystal Palace (K)'s 35%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 2.49 to 0.49.

What was the final score of Manchester United (K) vs Crystal Palace (K)?

Manchester United (K) 3-1 Crystal Palace (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United (K) vs Crystal Palace (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Manchester United (K) 66%, draw 18%, Crystal Palace (K) 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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