Chelsea (K) 2-1 Everton (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.11
Draw
21%
8.11
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
54%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
85%
-18.6pp
21%
Draw
9%
+11.5pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+7.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.5pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.66/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/2.34
+13% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +21%
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
441 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 70%
42.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
26.2 Crosses 12.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea (K)
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Everton (K)
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.67 xG 0.56
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
400 Passes 259
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
44 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-5 HT 0-3 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
10.03.2024 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKFAK
04.02.2024 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
06.01.2019 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
23.09.2018 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
18.04.2018 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea (K)
2-1
AWAY Everton (K)
1.77 xG 0.38
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 0
608 Passes 214
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
40 Box Touches 6
34 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chelsea (K) vs Everton (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) edged past Everton (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Chelsea (K) had 71% of the ball to Everton (K)'s 29%, shots finished 18-2, expected goals 1.77 to 0.38 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chelsea (K)'s control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Chelsea (K) and 0.00 for Everton (K).

What was the final score of Chelsea (K) vs Everton (K)?

Chelsea (K) 2-1 Everton (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea (K) vs Everton (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 66%, draw 21%, Everton (K) 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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