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Chelsea (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chelsea (K) v Tottenham Hotspur (K) — Team-Based Signals
Chelsea (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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1-0
HT 1-0
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Tottenham Hotspur (K)
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Chelsea (K) 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea (K) nicked a narrow win over Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chelsea (K) had 66% of the ball to Tottenham Hotspur (K)'s 34%, shots finished 27-10, expected goals 2.46 to 0.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chelsea (K)'s control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Chelsea (K) and 0.67 for Tottenham Hotspur (K).
What was the final score of Chelsea (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K)?
Chelsea (K) 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chelsea (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 75%, draw 13%, Tottenham Hotspur (K) 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.