Everton (K) 1-4 Manchester United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 12 Oct 2025

Everton (K)
1-4 HT 1-0
Manchester United (K)
📅12/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2025/2026

Everton (K) vs Manchester United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
7.18
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
68%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
2%
2/2
39%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
11%
-0.8pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.1pp
68%
Away Win
71%
-2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.1pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Everton (K) v Manchester United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.67/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.69
+5% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +112%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
208 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 470 · 85%
10.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.3
10.6 Crosses 22.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4

Everton (K) vs Manchester United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton (K)
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Manchester United (K)
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.47 xG 2.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
294 Passes 391
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.03.2025 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
29.09.2024 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
31.03.2024 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 4-1 HT 0-1 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
22.10.2023 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-5 HT 0-1 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
08.12.2019 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 3-1 HT 3-1 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL

Everton (K) 1-4 Manchester United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton (K)
1-4
AWAY Manchester United (K)
0.52 xG 2.39
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
227 Passes 551
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Everton (K) vs Manchester United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United (K) cruised past Everton (K) 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Manchester United (K) as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Everton (K) had 34% of the ball to Manchester United (K)'s 66%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.52 to 2.39.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Manchester United (K) led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Everton (K) and 3.00 for Manchester United (K).

What was the final score of Everton (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Everton (K) 1-4 Manchester United (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Everton (K) 10%, draw 21%, Manchester United (K) 68%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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