Varbergs GIF 1-0 Bergdalens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.29
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
13%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
23%
Over 2.5
77%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
72%
1.49
No
28%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
25%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
74%
-4.2pp
17%
Draw
15%
+2.4pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+1.8pp
72%
BTTS Yes
63%
+8.6pp
28%
BTTS No
37%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergdalens EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
2.48/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/3.97
-3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
468 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs GIF
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Bergdalens
4.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2025 Bergdalens 1-5 HT 1-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
30.06.2024 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 7-1 HT 3-0 Bergdalens İSÇ4
07.04.2024 Bergdalens 0-2 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Varbergs GIF vs Bergdalens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs GIF edged past Bergdalens 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Varbergs GIF as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (77%), both teams to score (72%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Varbergs GIF had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 4.67 goals for Varbergs GIF and 0.67 for Bergdalens.

What was the final score of Varbergs GIF vs Bergdalens?

Varbergs GIF 1-0 Bergdalens in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs GIF vs Bergdalens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs GIF win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Varbergs GIF 70%, draw 17%, Bergdalens 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varbergs GIF) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Varbergs GIF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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