Burgos vs Valladolid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burgos v Valladolid — Team-Based Signals
Burgos vs Valladolid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Burgos
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Valladolid
HAZ
1-0
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
3-0
HT 3-0
Valladolid
İS2
Burgos 0-1 Valladolid — Actual Match Statistics
Valladolid squeezed past Burgos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Valladolid made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Burgos had 48% of the ball to Valladolid's 52%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.33 to 0.43.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Burgos and 0.83 for Valladolid.
What was the final score of Burgos vs Valladolid?
Burgos 0-1 Valladolid in the Spain - 2nd Division on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burgos vs Valladolid?
Before kick-off our model rated an Valladolid win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Burgos 35%, draw 27%, Valladolid 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valladolid), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.