Malaga 3-0 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 12 Oct 2025

Malaga
3-0 HT 2-0
Deportivo La Coruna
📅12/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.62
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.23
6+ Goals
9%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.11
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
15%
6.67
X/2
14%
4.95
X/X
12%
4.01
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
24%
3.21
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.5pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malaga v Deportivo La Coruna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malaga EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.15/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.54/0.70
-28% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +145% / +47%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
19.3 Crosses 11.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malaga
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 0.84
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
300 Passes 326
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.01.2025 Malaga Malaga 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
06.10.2024 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
08.07.2020 Malaga Malaga 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
20.10.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-2 HT 0-1 Malaga Malaga İS2
15.06.2019 Malaga Malaga 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
12.06.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 4-2 HT 1-2 Malaga Malaga İS2

Malaga 3-0 Deportivo La Coruna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malaga
3-0
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.84 xG 1.23
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
325 Passes 448
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
24 Box Touches 19
6 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malaga ran out comfortable winners over Deportivo La Coruna 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo La Coruna at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Malaga had 43% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 57%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.84 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Malaga and 1.00 for Deportivo La Coruna.

What was the final score of Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Malaga 3-0 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Malaga 31%, draw 25%, Deportivo La Coruna 44%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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