Burgos Promesas 2000 1-0 Atletico Astorga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Astorga EU Bookmakers 40%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-55% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000
1-0
AWAY Atletico Astorga
57% Ball Possession 43%
3 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Atletico Astorga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos Promesas 2000 edged past Atletico Astorga 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Burgos Promesas 2000 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Burgos Promesas 2000 had 57% of the ball to Atletico Astorga's 43%, shots finished 3-8.

What was the final score of Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Atletico Astorga?

Burgos Promesas 2000 1-0 Atletico Astorga in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Atletico Astorga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Astorga win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Burgos Promesas 2000 36%, draw 27%, Atletico Astorga 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Astorga), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Astorga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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