UD Logrones 2-1 Beasain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
67%
-0.1pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.4pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Beasain EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.72/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.00
+2% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +70%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
249 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Logrones
2-1
AWAY Beasain
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UD Logrones vs Beasain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Logrones squeezed past Beasain 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had UD Logrones as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, UD Logrones had 61% of the ball to Beasain's 39%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of UD Logrones vs Beasain?

UD Logrones 2-1 Beasain in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Logrones vs Beasain?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split UD Logrones 67%, draw 18%, Beasain 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Logrones) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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