Hırvatistan 3-0 Cebelitarık — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.11
Draw
22%
8.78
Away
8%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
1.0
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.03
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
28.5
2-3 Goals
28%
4.73
4-5 Goals
32%
2.5
6+ Goals
21%
1.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
3%
35.0
X/1
22%
4.89
X/2
4%
35.0
X/X
11%
34.5
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
2%
35.0
2/X
8%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
84%
-13.8pp
22%
Draw
8%
+14.0pp
8%
Away Win
8%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hırvatistan EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Cebelitarık EU Bookmakers 11%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.97/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/3.45
+10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -32%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
430 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
52.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.9
28.4 Crosses 7.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hırvatistan
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cebelitarık
7.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
5.81 xG 0.25
68% Ball Possession 32%
30 Total Shots 3
13 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 1
432 Passes 161
89% Pass Accuracy 68%
58 Box Touches 4
35 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
06.06.2025 Cebelitarık Cebelitarık 0-7 HT 0-2 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hırvatistan
3-0
AWAY Cebelitarık
3.71 xG 0.05
80% Ball Possession 20%
28 Total Shots 1
10 Shots on Target 0
18 Corners 0
545 Passes 91
89% Pass Accuracy 56%
78 Box Touches 0
46 Crosses 0
POST-MATCH Hırvatistan vs Cebelitarık
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hırvatistan ran out comfortable winners over Cebelitarık 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hırvatistan as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hırvatistan had 80% of the ball to Cebelitarık's 20%, shots finished 28-1, expected goals 3.71 to 0.05.

What was the final score of Hırvatistan vs Cebelitarık?

Hırvatistan 3-0 Cebelitarık in the World Cup Qualifiers on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hırvatistan vs Cebelitarık?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hırvatistan win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Hırvatistan 70%, draw 22%, Cebelitarık 8%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hırvatistan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hırvatistan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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