Litvanya 0-2 Polonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 12 Oct 2025

Litvanya
0-2 HT 0-1
Polonya
📅12/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Litvanya vs Polonya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
7.18
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
65%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
15.9
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
24.85
1/X
5%
23.55
X/1
5%
17.25
X/2
15%
3.71
X/X
12%
6.29
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
45%
1.6
2/X
3%
19.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 6% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
11%
+3.0pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.9pp
66%
Away Win
70%
-4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.7pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Litvanya v Polonya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Litvanya EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonya EU Bookmakers 75%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.45/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.98/0.34
+150% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +104% / -57%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
223 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 82%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.4
12.4 Crosses 31.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.9

Litvanya vs Polonya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Litvanya
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Polonya
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.84 xG 2.27
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
235 Passes 416
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.03.2025 Polonya Polonya 1-0 HT 0-0 Litvanya Litvanya DKE
12.06.2018 Polonya Polonya 4-0 HT 2-0 Litvanya Litvanya HAZ
06.06.2016 Polonya Polonya 0-0 HT 0-0 Litvanya Litvanya HAZ
06.06.2014 Polonya Polonya 2-1 HT 0-1 Litvanya Litvanya HAZ
25.03.2011 Litvanya Litvanya 2-0 HT 2-0 Polonya Polonya HAZ
02.05.2006 Polonya Polonya 0-1 HT 0-1 Litvanya Litvanya HAZ

Litvanya 0-2 Polonya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Litvanya
0-2
AWAY Polonya
0.20 xG 1.11
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
285 Passes 316
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Litvanya vs Polonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya saw off Litvanya 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Polonya as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Litvanya had 48% of the ball to Polonya's 52%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.20 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Polonya led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Litvanya and 1.17 for Polonya.

What was the final score of Litvanya vs Polonya?

Litvanya 0-2 Polonya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Litvanya vs Polonya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonya win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Litvanya 14%, draw 21%, Polonya 66%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonya), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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