Polonya vs Litvanya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Polonya v Litvanya — Team-Based Signals
Polonya vs Litvanya Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Polonya 1-0 Litvanya — Actual Match Statistics
Polonya came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Litvanya 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Polonya as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.
Under the surface, possession split 62% to 38% in Polonya's favour, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.27 to 0.84 — on chances created, Polonya won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.20 a game for Polonya against 0.80 for Litvanya.
Polonya vs Litvanya Result & Final Score
Polonya 1 - 0 Litvanya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Polonya vs Litvanya Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Polonya win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Polonya 81%, draw 13%, Litvanya 6%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonya), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.