Polonya vs Litvanya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Polonya v Litvanya — Team-Based Signals
Polonya vs Litvanya Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Litvanya
HAZ
0-0
HT 0-0
Litvanya
HAZ
2-1
HT 0-1
Litvanya
HAZ
2-0
HT 2-0
Polonya
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-1
Litvanya
HAZ
Polonya 1-0 Litvanya — Actual Match Statistics
Polonya nicked a narrow win over Litvanya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Polonya as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.
On the day, Polonya had 62% of the ball to Litvanya's 38%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.27 to 0.84 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Polonya's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Polonya and 0.80 for Litvanya.
What was the final score of Polonya vs Litvanya?
Polonya 1-0 Litvanya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Polonya vs Litvanya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Polonya win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Polonya 74%, draw 15%, Litvanya 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonya), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.