Gorica 1-1 ND Slovan Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
18%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
52%
+8.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
18%
Away Win
24%
-5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gorica EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Slovan Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.39/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.00
-6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gorica
0W-0D-2L
AWAY ND Slovan Ljubljana
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
11.05.2025 ND Slovan Ljubljana 3-1 HT 0-1 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
02.11.2024 Gorica Gorica 2-5 HT 2-1 ND Slovan Ljubljana SLVN2
POST-MATCH Gorica vs ND Slovan Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica and ND Slovan Ljubljana shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Gorica carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, ND Slovan Ljubljana led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gorica and 4.00 for ND Slovan Ljubljana.

What was the final score of Gorica vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

Gorica 1-1 ND Slovan Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gorica vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Gorica 60%, draw 22%, ND Slovan Ljubljana 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gorica), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gorica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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