Ilirija 1-1 Krka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 12 Oct 2025

Ilirija
1-1 HT 0-1
Krka
📅12/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilirija EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Krka EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -16%
1.34/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.31
-7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilirija
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Krka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2025 Ilirija Ilirija 1-1 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
13.09.2024 Krka Krka 1-0 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
15.03.2024 Krka Krka 1-1 HT 1-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
04.10.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 3-2 HT 1-1 Krka Krka SLVNK
03.09.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 1-1 HT 1-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
04.05.2023 Krka Krka 3-2 HT 1-1 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilirija
1-1
AWAY Krka
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ilirija vs Krka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilirija and Krka shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ilirija at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ilirija had 52% of the ball to Krka's 48%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krka led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ilirija and 1.50 for Krka.

What was the final score of Ilirija vs Krka?

Ilirija 1-1 Krka in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilirija vs Krka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilirija win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ilirija 41%, draw 26%, Krka 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilirija) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilirija) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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