Coritiba 0-2 Santos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 12 Nov 2024

Coritiba
0-2 HT 0-2
Santos
📅12/11/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Coritiba vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.29
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.15
6+ Goals
6%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+8.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Coritiba v Santos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coritiba EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos EU Bookmakers 46%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.14/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.03
-4% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
24.3 Crosses 18.2
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Coritiba vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coritiba
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Santos
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.94 xG 1.37
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
294 Passes 367
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.07.2024 Santos Santos 4-0 HT 2-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
27.10.2023 Santos Santos 2-1 HT 1-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
10.06.2023 Coritiba Coritiba 0-0 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
09.08.2022 Coritiba Coritiba 1-2 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
13.05.2022 Santos Santos 3-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BRK
21.04.2022 Coritiba Coritiba 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BRK

Coritiba 0-2 Santos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coritiba
0-2
AWAY Santos
0.85 xG 0.35
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
430 Passes 287
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coritiba vs Santos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos got the better of Coritiba 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Santos made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Coritiba had 59% of the ball to Santos's 41%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.85 to 0.35 — the balance of chances actually favoured Coritiba.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Coritiba and 1.83 for Santos.

What was the final score of Coritiba vs Santos?

Coritiba 0-2 Santos in the Brazil - Serie B on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Santos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 36%, draw 28%, Santos 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
12 Nov 2024
00:30 Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta Analysis →
03:00 Paysandu vs Brusque Analysis →