Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vila Nova v Ponte Preta — Team-Based Signals
Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Ponte Preta
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Vila Nova
BR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Vila Nova
BR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Ponte Preta
BR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Vila Nova
BR2
Vila Nova 2-1 Ponte Preta — Actual Match Statistics
Vila Nova nicked a narrow win over Ponte Preta 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vila Nova as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vila Nova had 59% of the ball to Ponte Preta's 41%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.63 to 1.65.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ponte Preta led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vila Nova and 1.17 for Ponte Preta.
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta?
Vila Nova 2-1 Ponte Preta in the Brazil - Serie B on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 42%, draw 33%, Ponte Preta 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Nova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.