Bayern München (K) 4-0 Juventus (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 12 Dec 2024

📅12/12/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.28
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.63
Over
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
38%
4-5
28%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Bayern München (K) win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
73%
-7.3pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.6pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+4.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.93/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/2.46
-30% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +150%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
441 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
17.2 Crosses 12.9
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Juventus (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.68 xG 1.01
73% Ball Possession 27%
18 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
745 Passes 216
91% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
16.10.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
4-0
AWAY Juventus (K)
2.75 xG 0.31
72% Ball Possession 28%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
711 Passes 238
91% Pass Accuracy 79%
39 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 4
POST-MATCH Bayern München (K) vs Juventus (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) cruised past Juventus (K) 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Bayern München (K) had 72% of the ball to Juventus (K)'s 28%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.75 to 0.31.

What was the final score of Bayern München (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Bayern München (K) 4-0 Juventus (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 12/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München (K) vs Juventus (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 66%, draw 19%, Juventus (K) 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP-K More Champions League - Women's
12 Dec 2024
20:45 Valerenga (K) vs Arsenal (K) Analysis →
23:00 Manchester City (K) vs St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) Analysis →
23:00 Hammarby (K) vs Barcelona (K) Analysis →