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Valerenga (K) vs Arsenal (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valerenga (K) v Arsenal (K) — Team-Based Signals
Valerenga (K) vs Arsenal (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
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Valerenga (K) 1-3 Arsenal (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal (K) saw off Valerenga (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Valerenga (K) had 29% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 71%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 0.89 to 2.40.
What was the final score of Valerenga (K) vs Arsenal (K)?
Valerenga (K) 1-3 Arsenal (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 12/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valerenga (K) vs Arsenal (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Valerenga (K) 20%, draw 23%, Arsenal (K) 58%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.