FAS 2-1 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 12 Dec 2024

📅12/12/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
26%
2.77
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+5.0pp
26%
Draw
32%
-6.9pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.2pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +16%
1.27/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.24
+1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
11.08.2024 FAS FAS 0-3 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
24.03.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-2 HT 0-2 FAS FAS ELSAL
14.01.2024 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
27.11.2023 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
01.10.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-1 HT 1-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAS squeezed past Isidro Metapan 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FAS as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FAS and 1.50 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of FAS vs Isidro Metapan?

FAS 2-1 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 12/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated a FAS win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FAS 45%, draw 26%, Isidro Metapan 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FAS) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FAS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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