East Bengal 1-2 Odisha FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 12 Dec 2024

📅12/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.5
No
54%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
2.72
6+ Goals
9%
7.44
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.44 — our 28% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
62%
-16.7pp
54%
BTTS No
38%
+16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Bengal EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Odisha FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -21%
1.34/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.65
-16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
268 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.3 Crosses 15.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Bengal
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Odisha FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.91 xG 1.41
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
237 Passes 359
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2024 Odisha FC Odisha FC 2-1 HT 1-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
29.02.2024 Odisha FC Odisha FC 2-1 HT 1-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
28.01.2024 East Bengal East Bengal 3-2 HT 0-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HINSK
22.12.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 0-0 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
07.01.2023 Odisha FC Odisha FC 3-1 HT 2-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
18.11.2022 East Bengal East Bengal 2-4 HT 2-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME East Bengal
1-2
AWAY Odisha FC
0.94 xG 0.89
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
176 Passes 375
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH East Bengal vs Odisha FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odisha FC squeezed past East Bengal 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Odisha FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, East Bengal had 36% of the ball to Odisha FC's 64%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 0.94 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odisha FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for East Bengal and 2.17 for Odisha FC.

What was the final score of East Bengal vs Odisha FC?

East Bengal 1-2 Odisha FC in the India - Super League on 12/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Bengal vs Odisha FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Bengal win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split East Bengal 40%, draw 24%, Odisha FC 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (East Bengal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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