Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Berlin v RB Leipzig — Team-Based Signals
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-0
RB Leipzig
AL1
1-2
HT 1-0
Union Berlin
AL1
2-1
HT 2-0
RB Leipzig
AL1
Union Berlin 3-1 RB Leipzig — Actual Match Statistics
Union Berlin beat RB Leipzig 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was RB Leipzig at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Union Berlin had 37% of the ball to RB Leipzig's 63%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.42 to 0.55.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Union Berlin and 1.17 for RB Leipzig.
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
Union Berlin 3-1 RB Leipzig in the Germany - Bundesliga on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 31%, draw 26%, RB Leipzig 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RB Leipzig) went the other way.