Union Berlin 0-0 RB Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.78
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
10.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.59
1/2
8%
24.3
1/X
6%
12.1
X/1
13%
6.96
X/2
9%
5.4
X/X
11%
4.77
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
16%
3.06
2/X EV+ ✗
13%
11.65
Value flag · 2/X at 11.65 — our 13% vs market 5.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+6.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Berlin EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -14%
1.19/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.56
-28% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 78%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
20.0 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Berlin
3W-1D-2L
AWAY RB Leipzig
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.88 xG 0.94
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
251 Passes 568
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
04.02.2024 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
03.09.2023 Union Berlin Union Berlin 0-3 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
11.02.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-2 HT 1-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
20.08.2022 Union Berlin Union Berlin 2-1 HT 2-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
23.04.2022 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-2 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Berlin
0-0
AWAY RB Leipzig
1.27 xG 0.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
289 Passes 358
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 17
31 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Berlin and RB Leipzig fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Berlin had 47% of the ball to RB Leipzig's 53%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.27 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Berlin had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union Berlin and 1.33 for RB Leipzig.

What was the final score of Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?

Union Berlin 0-0 RB Leipzig in the Germany - Bundesliga on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 37%, draw 29%, RB Leipzig 34%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Berlin) ✗ BTTS Yes
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