Heidenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Heidenheim v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals
Heidenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
Heidenheim
AL1
3-4
HT 2-1
Borussia Dortmund
HAZ
Heidenheim 1-2 Borussia Dortmund — Actual Match Statistics
Borussia Dortmund edged past Heidenheim 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Borussia Dortmund as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Heidenheim had 36% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 64%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.58 to 2.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Borussia Dortmund's control.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Heidenheim and 2.50 for Borussia Dortmund.
What was the final score of Heidenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?
Heidenheim 1-2 Borussia Dortmund in the Germany - Bundesliga on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Heidenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?
Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 27%, draw 27%, Borussia Dortmund 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.