St. Pauli 1-1 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 1 Feb 2025

St. Pauli
1-1 HT 1-0
Augsburg
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

St. Pauli vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.91
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
17%
4.69
X/2
7%
7.14
X/X
10%
4.18
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
17%
5.57
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pauli v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg EU Bookmakers 30%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
1.18/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.67
-39% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
21.5 Crosses 16.7
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

St. Pauli vs Augsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Augsburg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.51 xG 2.74
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
344 Passes 236
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 38
23 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
15.09.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 3-1 HT 0-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
12.04.2010 St. Pauli St. Pauli 3-0 HT 0-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL2
22.11.2009 Augsburg Augsburg 3-2 HT 0-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
22.03.2009 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1 HT 0-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL2
19.10.2008 Augsburg Augsburg 3-2 HT 0-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
27.04.2008 Augsburg Augsburg 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2

St. Pauli 1-1 Augsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pauli
1-1
AWAY Augsburg
0.80 xG 0.32
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
324 Passes 438
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Pauli vs Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli and Augsburg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was St. Pauli at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, St. Pauli had 45% of the ball to Augsburg's 55%, shots finished 6-2, expected goals 0.80 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Augsburg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St. Pauli and 1.83 for Augsburg.

What was the final score of St. Pauli vs Augsburg?

St. Pauli 1-1 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli vs Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 43%, draw 26%, Augsburg 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Pauli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Pauli) ✓ Under 2.5
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