Stuttgart 1-2 Mönchengladbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 1 Feb 2025

Stuttgart
1-2 HT 0-1
Mönchengladbach
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Stuttgart vs Mönchengladbach Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.43
Over 2.5
62%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.53
No
38%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
5.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
29%
2.62
6+ Goals
15%
6.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.06
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
19%
4.52
X/2
6%
10.0
X/X
10%
6.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.45
2/2
9%
6.97
2/X
9%
14.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.45 — our 9% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.9pp
38%
BTTS No
39%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stuttgart v Mönchengladbach — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
2.19/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.99
+19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
21.5 Crosses 13.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Stuttgart vs Mönchengladbach Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Mönchengladbach
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.76 xG 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
504 Passes 380
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-3 HT 1-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
18.05.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 4-0 HT 2-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
14.01.2024 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 3-1 HT 2-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
29.04.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-1 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
04.11.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 3-1 HT 2-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
05.03.2022 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-2 HT 1-2 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1

Stuttgart 1-2 Mönchengladbach — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart
1-2
AWAY Mönchengladbach
1.22 xG 2.08
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 0
467 Passes 368
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 31
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stuttgart vs Mönchengladbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach squeezed past Stuttgart 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stuttgart at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stuttgart had 54% of the ball to Mönchengladbach's 46%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.22 to 2.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Stuttgart and 1.67 for Mönchengladbach.

What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Mönchengladbach?

Stuttgart 1-2 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Mönchengladbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 51%, draw 27%, Mönchengladbach 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stuttgart) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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