Bochum 0-1 Freiburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 1 Feb 2025

Bochum
0-1 HT 0-1
Freiburg
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Bochum vs Freiburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.86
Over 2.5
57%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.45
6+ Goals
13%
13.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.45 — our 28% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.98
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
14%
5.98
X/2
11%
5.63
X/X
10%
4.48
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
29.0
2/2
17%
3.63
2/X
7%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 11% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
35%
+7.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.1pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
50%
-6.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
50%
+6.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bochum v Freiburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.67/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.40
-9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 73%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.5 Crosses 15.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7

Bochum vs Freiburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Freiburg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.12 xG 2.76
47% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
268 Passes 319
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Freiburg Freiburg 2-1 HT 0-1 Bochum Bochum AL1
10.03.2024 Bochum Bochum 1-2 HT 0-1 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
21.10.2023 Freiburg Freiburg 2-1 HT 2-1 Bochum Bochum AL1
18.02.2023 Bochum Bochum 0-2 HT 0-1 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
26.08.2022 Freiburg Freiburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
16.04.2022 Freiburg Freiburg 3-0 HT 2-0 Bochum Bochum AL1

Bochum 0-1 Freiburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
0-1
AWAY Freiburg
0.98 xG 1.72
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 7
345 Passes 227
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Freiburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg edged past Bochum 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Bochum at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bochum had 58% of the ball to Freiburg's 42%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 0.98 to 1.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bochum and 2.00 for Freiburg.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Freiburg?

Bochum 0-1 Freiburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Freiburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bochum win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bochum 43%, draw 24%, Freiburg 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bochum) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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