Greuther Fürth 3-3 Hertha Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 12 Dec 2025

📅12/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
50%
Away Win
50%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 54%
+3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.44/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.04
+9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -24%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 80%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.9
17.2 Crosses 21.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hertha Berlin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.43 xG 1.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
318 Passes 337
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-0 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
07.12.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
11.02.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-2 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
26.08.2023 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 5-0 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
12.02.2022 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
17.09.2021 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 2-1 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth
3-3
AWAY Hertha Berlin
3.22 xG 2.13
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
343 Passes 349
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth vs Hertha Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth and Hertha Berlin shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hertha Berlin at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Greuther Fürth had 49% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 51%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 3.22 to 2.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Greuther Fürth and 2.00 for Hertha Berlin.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Hertha Berlin?

Greuther Fürth 3-3 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Hertha Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 25%, draw 24%, Hertha Berlin 50%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✗ Under 2.5
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