Mosta 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 12 Dec 2025

📅12/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
52%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
27%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
52%
Away Win
47%
+5.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mosta EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 50%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.68/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.73
+71% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mosta
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2025 Mosta Mosta 1-1 HT 0-0 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
29.03.2025 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MALTP
27.10.2024 Mosta Mosta 4-2 HT 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mosta
1-1
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mosta vs Zabbar St. Patrick
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosta and Zabbar St. Patrick shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Zabbar St. Patrick at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mosta had 49% of the ball to Zabbar St. Patrick's 51%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mosta had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Mosta and 1.33 for Zabbar St. Patrick.

What was the final score of Mosta vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Mosta 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick in the Malta - Premier League on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mosta vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zabbar St. Patrick win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mosta 23%, draw 25%, Zabbar St. Patrick 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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