Cardiff City 0-3 Leeds United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 13 Jan 2024

Cardiff City
0-3 HT 0-2
Leeds United
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Cardiff City vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
53%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 32% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.68
1/2
5%
23.85
1/X
8%
16.6
X/1
9%
9.46
X/2
16%
3.73
X/X
12%
5.09
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
31%
2.15
2/X
6%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.9pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cardiff City v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United EU Bookmakers 60%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -19%
0.74/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.85
-4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +11%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
219 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
17.8 Crosses 20.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Cardiff City vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Leeds United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.41 xG 2.85
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
178 Passes 436
63% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 36
10 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.08.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 2-2 HT 0-2 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
18.01.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 5-2 HT 3-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City FAK
08.01.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-2 HT 2-0 Leeds United Leeds United FAK
21.06.2020 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-0 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
14.12.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 3-3 HT 2-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
03.02.2018 Leeds United Leeds United 1-4 HT 0-3 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL

Cardiff City 0-3 Leeds United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff City
0-3
AWAY Leeds United
0.37 xG 3.69
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
296 Passes 520
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cardiff City vs Leeds United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United ran out comfortable winners over Cardiff City 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Cardiff City had 39% of the ball to Leeds United's 61%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.37 to 3.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Cardiff City and 2.17 for Leeds United.

What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Leeds United?

Cardiff City 0-3 Leeds United in the England - Championship on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Leeds United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 22%, draw 25%, Leeds United 53%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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