Ipswich Town vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities
Ipswich Town v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals
Ipswich Town vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Ipswich Town 2-1 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics
Ipswich Town shaded a tight game against Sunderland 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Ipswich Town as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.
Under the surface, Ipswich Town had 49% of the ball to Sunderland's 51%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.26 to 0.80 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ipswich Town's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunderland led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ipswich Town and 1.33 for Sunderland.
Ipswich Town vs Sunderland Result & Final Score
Ipswich Town 2-1 Sunderland in the England - Championship on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Ipswich Town vs Sunderland Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 47%, draw 27%, Sunderland 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ipswich Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.