Millwall vs Middlesbrough Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Millwall v Middlesbrough — Team-Based Signals
Millwall vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Millwall
İNCL
1-0
HT 0-0
Millwall
İNCL
2-0
HT 1-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
0-0
HT 0-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
1-1
HT 1-1
Millwall
İNCL
1-0
HT 1-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
Millwall 1-3 Middlesbrough — Actual Match Statistics
Middlesbrough got the better of Millwall 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Middlesbrough made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Millwall had 59% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 41%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.16 to 2.31.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Millwall and 0.33 for Middlesbrough.
What was the final score of Millwall vs Middlesbrough?
Millwall 1-3 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Millwall vs Middlesbrough?
Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Millwall 37%, draw 26%, Middlesbrough 37%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.