Hanwell Town 1-2 Basingstoke Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
42%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.0pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.8pp
42%
Away Win
32%
+9.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.6pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hanwell Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 36%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.42/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.62
-15% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hanwell Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Basingstoke Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.08.2023 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 1-3 HT 0-3 Hanwell Town Hanwell Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hanwell Town
1-2
AWAY Basingstoke Town
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basingstoke Town squeezed past Hanwell Town 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 19% / 42%) promised a tight game; Basingstoke Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hanwell Town had 52% of the ball to Basingstoke Town's 48%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Hanwell Town 1-2 Basingstoke Town in the England - Non League Premier on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hanwell Town 39%, draw 19%, Basingstoke Town 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basingstoke Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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